Wake Forest
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
521  Jake Poyner SO 32:54
578  Alexander Rose SR 32:59
588  Kent Garrett JR 33:00
784  Connor Crowley SR 33:19
1,020  Kyle Graves SR 33:41
1,340  Thomas Ross SR 34:06
1,493  Ryan Horgan JR 34:18
1,496  Alexander Giacco SO 34:18
1,790  Simon Holden SO 34:42
1,869  William Fayette SR 34:49
1,875  Evan Little SO 34:49
1,879  Charles Shackelford FR 34:50
2,092  Sebastian Fischbach FR 35:10
2,255  Andrew Fea FR 35:28
National Rank #103 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #14 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 27.2%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Jake Poyner Alexander Rose Kent Garrett Connor Crowley Kyle Graves Thomas Ross Ryan Horgan Alexander Giacco Simon Holden William Fayette Evan Little
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 1038 32:53 32:40 32:44 33:40 34:03 34:28 34:44 34:39
Upstate Invitational 10/04 1051 33:02 33:03 32:46 33:20 33:53 34:45 33:41 33:15 35:37 34:27
Royals Challenge 10/11 1249 34:11 34:32 35:55
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/17 1047 32:31 33:02 33:12 33:25 33:26 33:18 34:38 34:02 34:00 34:16 33:49
ACC Championships 10/31 1084 33:19 33:07 33:00 33:03 33:43 34:46 34:34 35:33 34:57 35:26
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 1057 32:43 33:01 33:21 33:10 33:20 33:31 34:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.3 384 0.0 0.5 2.8 8.3 15.5 14.7 13.9 12.9 10.9 8.4 6.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jake Poyner 54.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3
Alexander Rose 60.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kent Garrett 61.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
Connor Crowley 81.6
Kyle Graves 107.8
Thomas Ross 135.1
Ryan Horgan 148.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 0.5% 0.5 7
8 2.8% 2.8 8
9 8.3% 8.3 9
10 15.5% 15.5 10
11 14.7% 14.7 11
12 13.9% 13.9 12
13 12.9% 12.9 13
14 10.9% 10.9 14
15 8.4% 8.4 15
16 6.1% 6.1 16
17 3.8% 3.8 17
18 1.4% 1.4 18
19 0.4% 0.4 19
20 0.2% 0.2 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0